Académica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
44.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
ACA
0 - 2
VST
37%
22%
40%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
ACA
0 - 2
BOA
40%
22%
38%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
SCP
3 - 0
ACA
79%
12%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
ACA
2 - 4
FCP
23%
20%
58%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
BEL
2 - 0
CAR
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
FCP
9 - 1
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
BEL
1 - 2
SCP
47%
21%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
VST
0 - 2
BEL
53%
20%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
SLB
0 - 0
BEL
70%
16%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |