Académica vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 2
VST
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
OLH
2 - 1
ACA
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
17%
22%
61%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 1
UNM
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BMA
1 - 2
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BMA
0 - 1
FCP
18%
23%
60%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 0
BMA
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
UDL
0 - 3
BMA
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
BMA
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |