Académica vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
BOA
1 - 0
ACA
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
ACA
2 - 3
SCP
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
PEN
3 - 1
ACA
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
EST
0 - 1
ACA
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
BMA
1 - 3
MOR
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
FCP
0 - 1
BMA
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
BOA
3 - 0
BMA
57%
26%
17%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
BMA
2 - 2
SCP
18%
22%
60%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
PEN
2 - 1
BMA
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |