Académica vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
FAM
0 - 0
ACA
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 0
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
FEI
0 - 4
ACA
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 0
FCP
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
EST
2 - 0
ACA
49%
29%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
BMA
2 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
BEL
4 - 0
BMA
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
BMA
2 - 0
LEX
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
POR
2 - 1
BMA
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
BMA
1 - 0
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | +1 |