Académica vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
LEX
1 - 2
ACA
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ACA
3 - 2
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VIT
0 - 0
ACA
69%
19%
11%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
23%
25%
53%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
BEL
1 - 0
ACA
67%
21%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
BMA
2 - 1
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
SPB
3 - 0
BMA
68%
20%
11%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
BMA
1 - 1
SCP
14%
24%
63%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
ATL
4 - 1
BMA
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1977 |
BMA
0 - 3
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |