Académica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
BMA
1 - 0
ACA
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 0
LEX
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
BOA
4 - 2
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 4
SCP
17%
26%
57%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 0
ACA
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
UFT
62%
21%
16%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
FCP
2 - 0
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 1
VST
29%
30%
42%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
VIT
5 - 0
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
ATL
0 - 2
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |