Académica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
ACA
3 - 3
VIT
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
FCP
2 - 0
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ACA
0 - 0
SLB
18%
26%
56%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
ACA
3 - 1
OLH
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 0
OLH
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
BEL
0 - 1
ATL
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 3
SCP
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
ORI
2 - 0
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
ATL
3 - 1
FAB
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +2 |