Académica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1971 |
SLB
5 - 1
ACA
82%
12%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
ACA
2 - 0
FCB
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
TIR
1 - 0
ACA
30%
29%
41%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
FCP
0 - 0
ACA
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 2
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
LEX
0 - 1
ATL
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
ATL
4 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
VST
4 - 0
ATL
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
ATL
1 - 2
SPB
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |