Académica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
SPC
4 - 0
ACA
55%
21%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
24%
23%
53%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
BOA
1 - 3
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
ACA
1 - 1
LGC
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
53%
22%
26%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
ATL
2 - 2
FAB
68%
18%
15%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
VIT
3 - 0
ATL
74%
15%
11%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
SPC
3 - 1
ATL
67%
19%
15%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
ATL
0 - 4
SLB
22%
22%
55%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
BOA
3 - 2
ATL
61%
21%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |