Académica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1952 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
75%
14%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1952 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
51%
21%
28%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ACA
2 - 1
BEL
40%
25%
36%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
SPC
0 - 0
ACA
61%
19%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
FCB
2 - 2
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1952 |
JUV
5 - 1
ATL
24%
23%
53%
|
75 | 34 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1952 |
ATL
2 - 2
JUV
91%
6%
3%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ATL
5 - 0
SPC
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
FCP
1 - 1
ATL
76%
14%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
ATL
6 - 1
BOA
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |