Académica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
SLB
5 - 1
ACA
86%
9%
6%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
ACA
3 - 0
BEL
54%
20%
26%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +2 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
BEL
3 - 3
ACA
75%
14%
11%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
VIT
0 - 0
ACA
58%
18%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ACA
3 - 1
VIT
73%
14%
13%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
SLB
1 - 0
ATL
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
ATL
3 - 5
SLB
32%
20%
48%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
EST
0 - 3
ATL
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ATL
3 - 0
SPB
73%
15%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
SPB
1 - 0
ATL
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |