Académica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
LUS
5 - 1
ACA
54%
19%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
38%
21%
41%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
VST
4 - 1
ACA
67%
17%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 2
VIT
59%
19%
22%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 6
SLB
16%
17%
66%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
ATL
2 - 4
SLB
20%
18%
62%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
BEL
0 - 0
ATL
83%
10%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ATL
4 - 3
SPB
62%
18%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
OLH
1 - 2
ATL
62%
18%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1948 |
ATL
3 - 1
BOA
74%
14%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |