Académica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.7%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
FAM
6 - 1
ACA
63%
17%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
ACA
5 - 2
SAN
90%
6%
4%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
ACA
2 - 3
OLH
48%
20%
32%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
VIT
2 - 2
ACA
60%
19%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 5
EST
50%
19%
30%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1947 |
ATL
1 - 6
SCP
16%
16%
67%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1947 |
BEL
1 - 1
ATL
85%
9%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1947 |
ATL
1 - 3
FCP
36%
21%
44%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1947 |
FAM
2 - 4
ATL
46%
21%
33%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1947 |
ATL
2 - 0
SAN
82%
11%
7%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |