Académica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
SAL
3 - 1
ACA
66%
17%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
ACA
1 - 5
OLH
78%
12%
10%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
ACA
3 - 4
SCP
30%
20%
50%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
FCP
3 - 2
ACA
82%
10%
8%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
BEL
5 - 0
ACA
80%
11%
9%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
ATL
2 - 2
BEL
23%
20%
57%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1943 |
ATL
4 - 1
VIT
58%
19%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
ATL
3 - 2
VST
62%
18%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
ATL
4 - 0
SAL
54%
20%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |