Prev. Taça da Liga Final
Global 3-3
Académica vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
POR
2 - 2
ACA
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
ACA
2 - 1
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CES
1 - 2
ACA
10%
18%
72%
|
76 | 35 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ARO
2 - 2
ACA
31%
25%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 2
ARO
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ARO
2 - 0
SPC
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 1
ARO
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
SLB
5 - 1
ARO
90%
8%
3%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ARO
2 - 2
ACA
31%
25%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |