Académica vs Academico do Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.4%
7.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
UNI
2 - 3
ACA
53%
19%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
ACA
3 - 1
SLB
36%
22%
43%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
CAR
1 - 3
ACA
55%
20%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ACA
6 - 2
LEC
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
FCB
6 - 2
ACA
53%
21%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
APO
2 - 0
VIT
25%
21%
54%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
UNI
10 - 1
APO
76%
13%
11%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
APO
0 - 3
SCP
4%
10%
86%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 1
APO
93%
5%
2%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
APO
0 - 2
BEL
21%
20%
59%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |