Académica vs Academico do Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.1%
9.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 0
VST
61%
18%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
35%
20%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
LEX
3 - 3
ACA
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 0
ACA
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
ACA
0 - 2
FCP
19%
19%
62%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
APO
0 - 0
LEX
63%
18%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
APO
0 - 1
FCB
58%
20%
22%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
APO
2 - 3
BEL
28%
21%
51%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
CAR
3 - 2
APO
67%
18%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
APO
1 - 0
VST
51%
21%
28%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |