Académica vs Academico do Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
17%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
91%
6%
3%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCB
57%
20%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
SCP
7 - 1
ACA
91%
6%
3%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
APO
3 - 4
SLB
14%
18%
69%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
CAS
1 - 3
APO
49%
22%
28%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
APO
3 - 6
SCP
15%
16%
70%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
FCP
7 - 2
APO
90%
7%
4%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 0
APO
61%
20%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |