Académica vs Academico do Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACA
62%
20%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 4
FCP
19%
19%
62%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
BEL
5 - 0
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
22%
19%
59%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 3
ACA
68%
17%
15%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
APO
3 - 2
BEL
22%
19%
59%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
APO
4 - 1
FCB
56%
21%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 0
APO
86%
9%
5%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
SCP
6 - 0
APO
90%
7%
4%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
APO
1 - 4
FCP
22%
19%
59%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |