Academia vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
0 - 3
SFE
25%
25%
50%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
BOG
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
ACA
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
BOG
1 - 1
ACA
42%
25%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 2
PER
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 4
UNI
28%
23%
49%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 1
RSC
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
AFC
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
RSC
2 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
UNI
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |