Academia vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 0
BOG
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
CEN
5 - 2
ACA
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BOG
3 - 1
ACA
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 1
ACA
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 1
ACA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 2
SFE
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
AME
2 - 0
SFE
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SFE
1 - 0
EQU
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
BOG
0 - 0
SFE
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ENV
3 - 1
SFE
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |