Academia vs Pacífico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ALI
3 - 0
ACA
30%
27%
42%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 0
RSC
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 2
ACA
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 0
ACA
17%
21%
62%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 1
REA
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2011 |
PAC
0 - 0
COR
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
PAC
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PAC
1 - 2
UNI
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
PAS
4 - 1
PAC
63%
24%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 0
BUC
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |