Academia vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 2
PAT
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 1
ACA
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 0
BAR
60%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
ACA
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
COR
2 - 0
ACA
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2011 |
ENV
1 - 1
EQU
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 0
ENV
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 0
QUI
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
EQU
4 - 1
SFE
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 0
EQU
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |