Academia vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
ACA
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 1
ACA
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ACA
5 - 2
MIL
22%
24%
53%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 0
COR
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
EQU
2 - 0
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PER
2 - 0
AFC
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
PER
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 0
PER
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
PER
0 - 0
TFC
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
PER
2 - 1
QUI
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |