Academia vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 2
MIL
27%
24%
48%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
REA
2 - 3
ACA
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 0
CEN
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 1
ACA
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 0
UNI
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
AFC
0 - 2
AME
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 0
COR
31%
27%
42%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
AFC
49%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 1
UNI
34%
29%
37%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
PAS
4 - 0
AFC
68%
22%
11%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |