1a B Cla. Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Academia vs Centauros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
ACA
25%
27%
49%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 3
COR
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
ACA
41%
26%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 0
UNI
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAS
3 - 0
ACA
60%
25%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Centauros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
CEN
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
CEN
1 - 1
PAS
32%
28%
41%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 2
CEN
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CEN
2 - 1
PAT
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
RIO
4 - 0
CEN
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |