Academia vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
ACA
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CEN
4 - 2
ACA
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 0
CEN
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
ACA
25%
27%
49%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
ACA
3 - 3
COR
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BUC
2 - 1
AFC
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 0
AFC
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
REA
0 - 1
BUC
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 2
CEN
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TFC
1 - 1
BUC
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |