Puerto Cabello vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
43.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
APC
2 - 1
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 0
APC
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
APC
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
APC
3 - 2
DEF
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
APC
2 - 2
CAR
48%
28%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 1
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |