Murcia Promises U19 vs Elche U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
14º
5º
10
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 68 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 64 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 61 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
|
2º
|
10 | 57 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 48 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 47 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 43 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 31 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 30 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 27 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 25 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 10% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
19.5% | 58.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
19.5% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murcia Promises U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ACA
12 - 0
MMC
87%
10%
3%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 1
ACA
25%
23%
53%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ACA
3 - 1
CIE
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 3
ACA
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 2
FUT
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Elche U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
ALZ
2 - 2
ELC
17%
22%
61%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ELC
1 - 1
KEL
76%
16%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDR
2 - 1
ELC
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ELC
2 - 1
ATL
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
ELC
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |