Murcia Promises U19 vs FC Cartagena U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+149%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
14º
5º
0
9º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 68 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 64 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 61 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 57 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 48 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 47 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 43 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 42 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 31 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 30 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 27 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 25 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 21 |
16º
|
32% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
19.5% | 1% |
|
Possible next round
|
19.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 59% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murcia Promises U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
ACA
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 2
ELC
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ACA
12 - 0
MMC
87%
10%
3%
|
20 | 5 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
EFT
0 - 1
ACA
25%
23%
53%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ACA
3 - 1
CIE
61%
19%
20%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
FC Cartagena U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ELC
3 - 0
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
ALB
53%
23%
24%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
EFB
0 - 6
CAR
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
UCA
51%
24%
25%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 2
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |