AF Guatemala vs Gualan FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1552%
+905%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
12º
16º
16º
5
18º
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 35 |
1º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 33 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 32 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 31 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 31 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 30 |
6º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 29 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 28 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 27 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 27 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 25 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 25 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 23 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 22 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 20 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
20º
|
4 | 15 |
18º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
19º
|
5 | 12 |
19º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
8 | 12 |
20º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
4% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 1
AFG
71%
18%
11%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AFG
2 - 0
SLC
11%
17%
73%
|
8 | 47 | 39 | +12 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 0
AFG
79%
14%
7%
|
8 | 47 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
AFG
0 - 0
CSC
16%
18%
66%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 0
AFG
77%
15%
8%
|
8 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Gualan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 1
DBC
14%
18%
69%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
0 - 2
SAN
16%
21%
63%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SLC
5 - 0
GFC
78%
14%
8%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
2 - 1
AUR
19%
26%
55%
|
5 | 48 | 43 | +10 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CSC
2 - 1
GFC
83%
11%
6%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |