Academia Albiceleste vs AD Hogar Alcarreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia Albiceleste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
AAL
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
AAL
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SIG
0 - 2
AAL
12%
21%
67%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AAL
3 - 1
CAS
75%
16%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
YUN
0 - 0
AAL
17%
23%
60%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 3
MAD
20%
23%
57%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 1
ALC
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ORG
2 - 0
HAL
49%
23%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
HAL
34%
24%
42%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 4
CAB
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -2 |