Acacia Ridge vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
76.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-110%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acacia Ridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
GRA
5 - 0
ACA
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 3
GRA
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
STO
2 - 2
ACA
57%
20%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ACA
3 - 1
UNI
30%
21%
48%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
TOO
3 - 0
ACA
88%
9%
4%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
GEO
4 - 1
BRK
90%
7%
3%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
OLY
7 - 1
GEO
40%
21%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
GEO
2 - 1
GAP
76%
14%
10%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
GEO
12 - 1
SPR
84%
10%
5%
|
39 | 8 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
GEO
3 - 4
NPI
72%
16%
13%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |