AC St. Louis vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
52.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC St. Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
AUS
4 - 2
LOU
74%
16%
9%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 2
LOU
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LOU
2 - 1
AUS
21%
25%
55%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
LOU
0 - 3
MIN
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2010 |
LOU
3 - 1
FOR
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROC
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ROC
1 - 2
FOR
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ROC
3 - 0
TAM
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
ROC
36%
30%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ROC
3 - 1
FOR
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |