Siena Sub 19 vs Lecce Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
NAP
0 - 0
SIE
33%
25%
42%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 1
CRO
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
GRO
1 - 0
SIE
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 0
SIE
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
SIE
2 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
LEC
4 - 0
GRO
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
FRO
3 - 0
LEC
32%
26%
42%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 2
LAZ
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 1
LEC
27%
25%
49%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
LEC
4 - 3
ROM
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +2 |