Sangiovannese vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
11º
10º
41
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SDT
3 - 1
ACS
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ACS
2 - 0
BAR
24%
23%
53%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
UNV
0 - 0
ACS
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ACS
2 - 1
FLA
26%
25%
48%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
SCA
0 - 0
ACS
58%
22%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LRO
2 - 0
OST
29%
26%
46%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
OST
1 - 1
FOR
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 2
OST
29%
25%
46%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
OST
0 - 1
AUR
65%
19%
15%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AFR
5 - 0
OST
48%
22%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |