Sangiovannese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
33.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MAS
1 - 0
ACS
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 1
PES
46%
26%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 1
ANC
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
ACS
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ACS
2 - 3
SAS
22%
27%
51%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ASL
2 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ANC
2 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
PES
0 - 3
ASL
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ASL
1 - 1
CRO
42%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PIS
2 - 2
ASL
46%
30%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |