Sangiovannese vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SAS
3 - 0
ACS
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ACS
1 - 1
PIS
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
MAS
0 - 0
ACS
29%
28%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ACS
1 - 0
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SSM
2 - 0
ACS
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ASL
1 - 0
VIR
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PRG
2 - 1
ASL
72%
20%
8%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ASL
1 - 0
USF
46%
28%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 1
ASL
51%
27%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ASL
2 - 1
JUS
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |