Sangiovannese vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
PAD
2 - 0
ACS
49%
25%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 1
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ACS
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2007 |
ACS
0 - 0
ASL
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MAS
3 - 3
ACS
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
PAV
1 - 0
VNZ
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
SAS
1 - 0
PAV
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PAV
1 - 1
ASS
38%
28%
35%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PAV
0 - 1
GRO
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
USI
2 - 1
PAV
38%
28%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |