Sangiovannese vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
SAS
2 - 4
ACS
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
ACS
3 - 1
ACI
30%
27%
44%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SPE
3 - 1
ACS
63%
23%
15%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ACS
3 - 0
FIA
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ACP
2 - 1
ACS
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
PAV
4 - 3
PRO
51%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
PAV
2 - 1
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 1
PAV
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 1
GRO
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |