Sangiovannese vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 0
ACS
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ACS
1 - 1
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
LES
5 - 2
ACS
24%
22%
55%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ACL
0 - 2
NOV
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 1
ACL
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 1
EMP
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 3
ACL
68%
19%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 5
TOR
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |