Reggiana vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
REG
1 - 0
ACL
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 0
REG
59%
25%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
TER
2 - 0
REG
60%
24%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
FCV
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
REG
3 - 1
TRI
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACD
6 - 2
RIM
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 1
ACD
64%
22%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACD
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 0
REN
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ACD
2 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |