Reggiana vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
REG
4 - 2
ANC
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
REG
5 - 2
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
REG
0 - 0
BOL
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 3
REG
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
UDI
0 - 1
TRI
70%
17%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 0
TRI
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
RAV
1 - 2
TRI
40%
22%
38%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
TRI
2 - 2
UDI
48%
23%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
TRI
1 - 2
ACM
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |