Reggiana vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 1
REG
55%
25%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
REG
0 - 2
USF
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
REG
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
REG
1 - 1
SOR
27%
27%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AVE
4 - 0
USF
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TER
2 - 1
AVE
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 1
LEO
47%
27%
27%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 2
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
AVE
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |