Reggiana vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
SAL
1 - 0
REG
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
REG
1 - 0
CES
49%
28%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
VNZ
0 - 0
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
REG
3 - 1
PES
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
ASL
0 - 2
REG
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
AVE
0 - 0
ANC
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
BOL
4 - 0
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
AVE
2 - 3
PAL
48%
29%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
SAL
0 - 0
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1996 |
BRE
2 - 0
AVE
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |