Reggiana vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
+2
7.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
32.4%
Draw
0-0
16%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.4%
37.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
CAG
1 - 1
REG
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
REG
0 - 0
LIC
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
PIS
2 - 1
REG
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
REG
3 - 0
TRI
53%
28%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 0
REG
52%
28%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
FCC
0 - 0
AVE
38%
30%
32%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
AVE
0 - 0
ANC
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
TRI
1 - 0
AVE
28%
32%
41%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
AVE
0 - 3
PIS
44%
32%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
USF
1 - 2
AVE
23%
32%
45%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |