Reggiana vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 3
REG
14%
23%
63%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
REG
1 - 0
PIS
38%
30%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
JUS
1 - 3
REG
25%
25%
49%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 0
REG
31%
26%
42%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
REG
0 - 1
ABN
66%
22%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 2
SPA
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIC
19%
26%
55%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1999 |
PIS
2 - 1
SPA
57%
27%
16%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 0
USC
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |