Reggiana vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15%
12.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SPE
1 - 0
REG
47%
22%
31%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
FAN
2 - 1
REG
36%
23%
41%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
REG
1 - 1
UNI
78%
13%
9%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
REG
0 - 0
MOD
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
USC
2 - 2
REG
40%
24%
37%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SPA
5 - 3
FAN
74%
15%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SPA
2 - 1
NAP
42%
23%
35%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
CAT
2 - 1
SPA
57%
20%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
SIR
1 - 0
SPA
43%
23%
34%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SPA
1 - 0
PIS
72%
16%
13%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |