Reggiana vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
32.4%
Draw
0-0
15.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.4%
32.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1982 |
PAL
1 - 1
REG
61%
25%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
REG
1 - 0
SSS
51%
28%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
RIM
1 - 1
REG
58%
27%
16%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
REG
1 - 1
SAM
41%
31%
28%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
REG
1 - 1
USF
56%
27%
17%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1982 |
SAM
1 - 0
PRG
45%
29%
26%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
PRG
1 - 0
USF
61%
26%
14%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1982 |
PRG
2 - 1
VAR
53%
29%
18%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
PES
0 - 2
PRG
27%
33%
40%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 1
PRG
31%
34%
35%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |