Reggiana vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CLA
1 - 3
REG
7%
14%
78%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
REG
1 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
7%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CRE
1 - 0
REG
14%
22%
65%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
REG
1 - 2
SAM
68%
21%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
REG
1 - 0
LEN
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
LEN
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
ADR
67%
18%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
PER
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 2
PER
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 2
PER
25%
21%
54%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |